Das Forum » Let me put the fine point on what JLC is saying here.

In search of the Holy Grail of free agency... comp picks!"Jason La CanforaJLC doesn’t have the greatest record of accuracy at breaking rumors Dwayne Haskins Jersey , but he’s not a complete idiot; he may have an itchy Twitter finger, but he can write good sports stories when he’s doing traditional journalism.He wrote a pretty good one recently.A problem has developed for quality players who are seen as second-tier free agents — guys who can add value to the roster, but who won’t be signed to big-dollar contracts.The problem is that, after the first wave of free agency passes (that is, about 6 - 10 days into the new league year), the focus of teams shifts to the second-priority players.Increasingly, teams are prioritizing re-signing their own players or players cut from other teams, and there is increasing interest in mutually beneficial trades.The reason, according to player’s agents that LaCanfora talked to, is that teams are paying more and more attention to the value of compensatory picks, and they are offering only vet minimum deals to the second tier players, who, in the past, would have commanded more money.The option — for the player and the relevant teams — is to wait until the deadline has passed for signing qualifying compensatory free agents, because after the deadline, there is no effect on comp picks.This is a result of teams getting smarter, but it’s also an issue because the deadline for signing qualifying compensatory free agents is the second Tuesday after the draft, which, this year, is 7 May.For a long time, the deadline was the 1st of June; it was changed just a couple of years ago.But there’s an argument that it should be changed again to a date before the draft — say, around April 1st.If Jason La Canfora and the agents he talked to are right, then the current system, and the increasing value teams are putting on compensatory picks, are combining to put the squeeze on second-tier veteran free agents.That obviously isn’t attractive from the point of view of affected players, but it’s also not ideal from the standpoint of the team front offices either.They would probably be happier if they could sign veteran players to plug holes and build depth ahead of the draft, putting themselves in position to focus more on selecting the best player available and less on drafting for need, without having to concern themselves with the loss of compensatory picks in the process.Right now, they have conflicting priorities in the weeks leading up to the draft.OverTheCapNick Korte, at OverTheCap (OTC) Wes Martin Jersey , read the JLC article and wondered if La Canfora was right in his assessment.Being numbers-guys, OTC did a quantitative analysis to assess whether the anecdotal evidence presented in the CBS Sports article was based in reality.They made some interesting findings.The first thing to notice is that OverTheCap, in their discussion of the results, ignored the potential 4th rounder that the Redskins have at risk.I’m not sure why, but I sent a Tweet to Nick Korte to ask him.My own thought about that relates to my observation over the years that the writers at OTC, like many individuals and entities related indirectly to the NFL, simply don’t like the Redskins, either because of Dan Snyder or because of the name, and will either ignore the team or be passively critical of the Redskins.I’m used to it, but I still notice it.Be that as it may, the more important thing to notice about the OTC analysis is that they agreed with the agents quoted in JLC’s article.Nick Korte gave his analysis of what’s going on:Wait a minute... there’s a Redskins reference.Maybe he doesn’t hate us after all.Anyway, there seems to be compelling evidence that the phenomenon under discussion is real; agents have spoken out about it, and independent quantitative analysis backs up the claims.This begs the question of whether we should care.Should the NFL take any action?Nick Korte, a pretty smart guy, seems to think they should, and offers a number of options that the NFL could consider.Suggestion 1Personally, I like this suggestion.I think it should be adopted.The particular date of the new cutoff isn’t critical, but April 1st appeals to me as a good guideline.Otherwise, I’d probably say 21 days after the start of the new league year.Suggestion 2I am positively disposed towards this suggestion as well, and this isn’t an “either, or” choice.Both suggestions 1 & 2 can be implemented.While I would prioritize #1, I think this second idea has merit as well.It would have the effect of reducing the number of qualifying compensatory free agents each off-season.For an example we can all relate to quickly and easily, if this adjustment to the Comp Pick system had been in place this off-season, then Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (who signed a veteran minimum contract of just over a million dollars for one season) would not count towards the comp pick calculation, and the Redskins would currently be expected to qualify for both a 4th and a 6th round pick instead of just the 4th.Suggestion 3I’m more ambivalent about this idea.The net effect is roughly the same as the second suggestion, but it doesn’t seem as ‘neat’, and requires an actual system change, as opposed to merely modifying parameters, as Suggestions 1 & 2 require.I’m not opposed to this idea — it would also have eliminated DRC from the Redskins comp pick calculation this off-season — I just don’t like it as much as Suggestion 2.Suggestion 4I don’t like this suggestion at all.Basically, this is a simple de-valuation of comp picks.For a lot of reasons that I don’t want to enumerate in this already-too-long article Womens Bryce Love Jersey , I really like the current Comp Pick system, and I think the delicate balance of “getting it right” has already been struck.I don’t think that this sort of devaluation of the picks is the answer.Suggestion 5Just, no.I would argue with all my passion against this.I don’t think Nick Korte is recommending it; I believe he’s just including it for completeness’ sake.The Redskins’ and NFCE current comp pick situationThe Redskins currently appear to qualify for a 4th round pick in the 2020 draft, according to OverTheCap.There’s a very real chance that Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, like Orlando Scandrick last year, will not make the team.If he is cut in the preseason, he would drop off the chart, and the Redskins would qualify for the 6th round pick that he is currently cancelling out.In addition, my understanding of the system is that a player has to be under contract for at least ten games to qualify for the formula.If that’s right, then the Redskins could find it convenient to release DRC prior to week 10 in an effort to re-gain the potentially lost 6th rounder.It would be the equivalent of a mid-season trade.Of course, what’s good for the goose is good for the gander.There’s nothing to say that Ty Nsekhe or Ha Ha Clinton-Dix wouldn’t be cut at the end of pre-season or prior to Week 10.If either of them is released, and nothing else in the Redskins’ comp pick situation changed, then the 4th rounder that the Redskins currently expect for Jamison Crowder would disappear.Oops.EaglesWith 3rd & 4th round picks on the line for Nick Foles and Golden Tate, Howie Roseman will take care to preserve those two picks.This week, he traded for Jordan Howard to bolster the Eagles’ running game, avoiding the need to sign a veteran running back, potentially conserving a 2020 pick.GiantsThe Giants’ third rounder in return for Landon Collins joining the Redskins on a 6-year contract looks secure.They appear to have three low-round picks, as well, any of which could be affected by a free agent move between now and 7 May.I doubt whether the loss of a possible 7th round pick would stop Dave Gettleman from signing a player he felt he had to have, but at this point, I would expect him to sit on his hands until after the draft, and sign a player or two after the QCFA deadline if he needs the depth.CowboysThe Cowboys comp pick situation may be the most fluid in the division, as 4 of the qualifying players on the chart are low-dollar depth players who may not make the team — either the two players signed by Dallas, or the two players that left for other teams.Dallas likely isn’t thinking too much about comp picks in their roster planning right now. They have huge fish to fry, both now and next year.The immediate problem for the ‘Boys is Demarcus Lawrence, who was hit with the franchise tag for the second consecutive year.He is scheduled to make $20.5m this season, and doesn’t seem happy about it.Reports out of Dallas regarding long-term contract negotiations have not sounded positive.As of right now, the Cowboys have a long list of key players facing free agency when the 2019 season comes to an end:Dak PrescottDemarcus Lawrence (again)La’el CollinsEzekiel ElliottAmari CooperAllen Hurns (who could be cut this off-season; reports say he’s been asked to take a pay cut)Randall Cobb (recently signed to a 1-year deal as a free agent)Byron JonesJaylon SmithThis is, in a sense, only the “tip of the iceberg”.According to OTC https://www.theredskinslockerroom.com/authentic-terry-mclaurin-jersey , the Cowboys currently are expected to have an incredible 38 players hit free agency at the end of this season, including those listed above.By contrast, the Redskins have 31, the Giants 31, and the Eagles 28, and none of the three is facing as many huge FA decisions as the Cowboys are. 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So, yes, when the eight-team AAF kicks off this weekend, there will be no kickoffs as a nod to player safety and one of many twists to make games faster.2019 NFL Bad Lip Reading: Adrian Peterson Has A Special Pregame RoutineThe Bad Lip Reading folks outdid themselves this year with an eight minute video, which includes Redskins cameos from Adrian Peterson and Alex Smith.XFL to announce Dallas coach/G.M. on Thursday – ProFootballTalkThe Alliance of American Football begins playing this weekend. On Thursday, the XFL will name its first of eight head coaches. It's not a coincidence. With the AAF getting a one-year head start when it comes to the actual playing of games, the XFL needs to generate P.R.